Mapping climate uncertainty to material risk
Manifold Climate Studio supports organisations navigating climate-related disclosure and risk assessment under conditions of deep uncertainty. We translate complex climate information into defensible statements about material risk, aligned with emerging reporting standards and governance expectations.
Our work centres on scenario-based climate risk assessment, with full transparency around assumptions, data, and uncertainty. This provides a credible foundation for first-year disclosure and future maturity.
What we do
Manifold provides scenario-based physical climate risk assessments for organisations preparing for climate-related financial disclosure.
We focus on identifying material climate risks, explaining why they matter, and documenting the evidence behind each conclusion, without forcing false precision where the science does not support it.
Disclosure-grade climate risk assessment
Scenario selection and assumptions documentation
Physical climate risk framing for real assets and operations
Why Manifold
The future climate is uncertain, multi-dimensional, and evolving.
Yet organisations are required to make clear statements about material risk, resilience, and governance — often before methods, norms, and expectations have fully stabilised.
Manifold is built for this reality. We prioritise scientific credibility, transparency, and traceability so disclosures can be explained, defended, and matured over time.
Led by Dr Vjeko Matić, Manifold draws on experience spanning national climate risk assessments, hydrological projections, infrastructure planning, and applied engineering across government and industry, including leadership roles in national-scale assessments and applied decision support for complex systems.
If you are preparing for climate-related disclosure and want a measured, science-led starting point, feel free to get in touch.